Inter Miami v San Diego FC: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 4.3 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.7 goals from Inter Miami and 1.6 from San Diego FC, so Inter Miami come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Inter Miami come into this on three straight draws. San Diego FC come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: San Diego FC to score. This is about San Diego FC's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.