How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals; the game finished with 8. Both teams scored. We made Los Angeles Galaxy to score 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from St. Louis City and 1.4 from Los Angeles Galaxy, so St. Louis City come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
St. Louis City come into this on five straight wins. Los Angeles Galaxy come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Los Angeles Galaxy to score. This is about Los Angeles Galaxy's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
St. Louis City have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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