How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Academico Viseu to score 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Academico Viseu and 1.2 from Guimaraes, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Academico Viseu to score. This is about Academico Viseu's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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