How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Porto to win 63%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Academico Viseu and 1.6 from Porto, so Porto come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Porto come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Porto to win. Porto shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.6), and we make them about 64% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
