How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Sp Lisbon win & Over 1.5 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.8 goals from Sp Lisbon and 0.8 from Nacional, so Sp Lisbon come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Sp Lisbon come into this on three straight wins. Nacional come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sp Lisbon win & Over 1.5. Sp Lisbon to win, with goals — what shapes up as an open, high-scoring game (xG 2.8-0.8). The result and the goals line point the same way here.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Sp Lisbon have won four of the last four meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
