What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Defensa y Justicia and 0.8 from San Lorenzo, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.8 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.8 goals between the two (xG 1.0-0.8). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Defensa y Justicia have won three of their last five.
✓San Lorenzo have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
16 Mar 2026San Lorenzo 2 - 5 Defensa y Justicia
22 Sept 2024Defensa y Justicia 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
6 Apr 2024San Lorenzo 0 - 2 Defensa y Justicia
12 Nov 2023Defensa y Justicia 0 - 1 San Lorenzo
8 May 2023San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Defensa y Justicia
