What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Sarmiento Junin and 1.4 from River Plate, so River Plate come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.5 goals between the two (xG 1.1-1.4). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 49 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Sarmiento Junin have won three of their last five.
✓River Plate have won three of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
15 Mar 2026River Plate 2 - 0 Sarmiento Junin
12 Oct 2025River Plate 0 - 1 Sarmiento Junin
6 Apr 2025Sarmiento Junin 1 - 1 River Plate
28 Jul 2024River Plate 1 - 0 Sarmiento Junin
20 Mar 2023Sarmiento Junin 0 - 2 River Plate
