What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Como and 0.6 from Parma, so Como come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Como or Draw. This covers Como or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 90 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.06, which works out at about 94 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
Two-way cover still leaves one result that beats you, and tight games can turn on a single mistake. The price is shorter than our own read of about 90%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
