How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals; the game finished with 8. Both teams scored. We made Inter to score 2+ 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.5 goals from Inter and 0.9 from Udinese, so Inter come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Inter to score 2+. This is about Inter's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 2.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to score 2 or more, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Inter have won four of the last five meetings.
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